Best Low Risk Craps Strategy

Best Low Risk Craps Strategy 6,3/10 5246 reviews
  1. Best Low Risk Craps Strategy Stage Tech Marine
  2. Best Low Risk Craps Strategy For Beginners

It’s no surprise that multitudes of strategies have been developed around place betting the (6) & (8) as these numbers give the craps player one of the be best advantages of beating the casinos. First of all, both the (6) and the (8) are the numbers likely to roll most often, next to the (7). THE ULTIMATE CRAPS STRATEGY GUIDE. There is nothing quite like Craps, especially at a hot table where Craps players are winning together. The camaraderie that goes with playing toward a common goal makes Craps the most social game in an offline or online casino, and the cheers, high fives and rowdiness when the shooter makes it clear that the players are having fun. Every idiot knowsthe best strategy to minimize the casino’s edge in craps: bet the pass line and load up on the maximum odds possible. The odds bet in craps is one of the only fair bets in the casino, so the more you load up on odds, the closer the casino’s edge is to zero. Low Risk / Low Reward This is a very simple system that anyone can play. If you want to just sit around and watch the game and secure a place at the table to watch then this is the system to use.

Joegambler
I am a new craps player. I like the don't pass line bet. Usually I don't lay odds unless the point is a 4/10. In which case, I then lay odds in the amount of double my don't pass bet(new and and still learning the lingo). It's a conservative strategy, but I conform to the win small lose small idiology. Does anybody have any advice on other conservative/low risk improvements to my game? Also, somebody told me wrong bettors shouldn't make place bets. Is that true?
cclub79
If you want to improve a little, lay the odds on all the points. They are paid at fair odds, so even though it seems you'll win more if you just stick with 4 and 10, you don't really since the payout is 1:2. You win more often, but less money. You'll do fine in the long run laying odds on any of the points equally.
seattledice
I agree with cclub that you should lay odds on all points.
I believe that making place bets while betting wrong would be hedging, which would violate commandment 7 (http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/tencom.html).
You are trying to win when a 7 is thrown, so why make a bet that would lose?
kenarman
Craps strategy for beginnersAlso, somebody told me wrong bettors shouldn't make place bets. Is that true?
A place bet would be hedging and doesn't make a lot of sense. If you want to get more numbers working and more action make some don't come bets with odds. Personally I get way to board at a craps table with only one number working.
Be careful when you follow the masses, the M is sometimes silent.
jeremykay

Does anybody have any advice on other conservative/low risk improvements to my game?


Best Low Risk Craps Strategy Stage Tech Marine

By conservative, it sounds like you want to play a low variance game. If that's the case, I think you're doing it the best you can right now. Just make the minimum bet on the don't pass line. If you want to increase your action without adding to the house advantage, lay max odds on all numbers whenever possible. The only way to reduce your variance further is to hedge, but that just puts more money in the house's pocket and it's not much fun either!
Joegambler
Could you explain what low variance means better. Also, if I increase my wager by laying odds on all points doesn't that only level the playing field for the house. By establishing a point, atleast the way I was looking at it, I felt like I already had them 'over a barrel', because seven is the most likley number to come up.
jeremykay

Could you explain what low variance means better. Also, if I increase my wager by laying odds on all points doesn't that only level the playing field for the house. By establishing a point, atleast the way I was looking at it, I felt like I already had them 'over a barrel', because seven is the most likley number to come up.


Variance is the distribution of results around the mean. So you may expect to lose about $1.36 making 10 x $10 don't pass bets, but actually you may lose $100 or win $100. Most of the time, however, your result will be relatively close to the mean of -$1.36 compared with other bets (like the hard ways) that are more volatile.
It seems to be a common point of confusion about laying odds on don't bets... Yes, after the point is established, you are more likely to win the bet than to lose. However, before the point is established, you are more likely to lose it than win! Getting a point established is the hard part for a don't bet. Every time you put a bet on that don't pass line, the house has an advantage. Laying odds has a 0% house advantage no matter what. Let's say you're contemplating laying $10 odds... Think about what else you'd do with that $10 if you didn't use it for odds. You could place another don't pass bet (or don't come bet), which has an expected value of $9.86 or you could place the odds bet with an expected value of $10.00.
See this thread for much more debate and examples on this issue...
was reading wiz's craps faq explain me thisCraps
wb4sdz
Strategy

I agree with cclub that you should lay odds on all points.
I believe that making place bets while betting wrong would be hedging, which would violate commandment 7
You are trying to win when a 7 is thrown, so why make a bet that would lose?


Yes, lay odds on all points, or don't come points, rolled. For bankroll management, I limit my exposure to no more than three numbers per shooter. I bet the point (on the dark side), with odds. I bet the next number (what would be the first come bet), with odds. And then if either are made, I bet one, and only one, additonal DC or DP number, with max odds on all bets. This way, even if one number is thrown, the other two make up for the loss incurred by the first one. If two numbers are thrown, and if the last one I win, by hitting big red, makes up somewhat, but not entirely, for the first two lost. This keeps me from 'chasing the seven', by making bet after bet on the dark side when a hot shooter has the dice and is decimating the wrong betters.
It is a slow, but (as close to) 'sure' way of at least staying in the game for the long haul, and waiting for the inevitable streak of 'bad luck' that the right players don't want to see.
BTW, for a $10 table, don't even think of buying in with less than $600. You won't survive it. And for some reason it doesn't scale proportionately, for $20, with max odds, you need $1500 buy in to survive.
MrV
Nick the Greek, a well known don't bettor, is reported to have said to the effect: 'If I could do
it all over again, I wouldn't have laid odds.'
Try this series of don't bets:
2 unit don't pass, then 1 unit don't come, then 2 unit don't come.
Wait for seven out: do not replace numbers if picked off.
SplittingAA
Hey Joe thanks for the thread. Your plan of action is sound; just stay away from the middle of the table and as others have mentioned don't hedge your 'don'ts' with place bets. I too was thinking of starting a similar thread in hopes of getting some constructive critique of my craps strategy.
Unlike yourself however I will be placing my chips on the 'right' side of the line. As it has been discussed on many other threads already, my entertainment funds are for entertainment. I get more value when I am cajoling with my table mates and having a good time.
Thus here is my conservative craps strategy: I like to get my action on the 6 and 8 with full odds, but I don't want to buy, place, or put it there. Therefore, I only use the pass line and come bets to establish a point on the 6

Best Low Risk Craps Strategy For Beginners

or the 8 then back it up with max odds of 5X to 10X depending on the table minimum. I will continue to make a pass/come bet until I either establish the 6 or 8, or I establish a max of 3 points. At that time I do nothing. If I have one of my two favorite points I wait for it to hit or Big Red. If I haven't got the 6 or 8, I wait for one of my other points to hit then replace it with another pass/come bet or Big Red again.
This strategy has several advantages IMO. First, lower variance using only the 6 and 8 for max bet. Second, is the natural insurance that is created by following up a weaker pass line point with a come bet that cancels out or at least minimizes the effects of a 7-out.Low
I have simulated this using WinCraps with moderate success. It usually more than doubles the original bankroll before it eventually bankrupts. The bankrupts tend to come after several thousand rolls. [starting bankroll = $500, minimum bet = $5, odds on the 6 or 8 = 5X]
Phil: I'm pretty sure that's illegal too. Alan: Yeah, maybe after 9/11, where everybody got so sensitive. Thanks a lot, bin Laden.

The Low Roller Pass/Come Strategy is a spin off of the 3-Point Molly Strategy in that you establish 3 points in play for each roller. The Low Roller Strategy has its advantages and should be considered by those with limited bankrolls or for advanced players betting on random rollers.

In a nutshell, at a $10 table, you place a $10 Pass Line bet, followed by 2 consecutive $10 Come Bets until you have 3 points in action. You do not place any odds on either your Pass Line bet or your Come bets.

Right now the mathematicians are screaming that you need to place odds on your bets to lower the house edge, but lets take a look at how this works and the merit behind it for the right players and the right situation.

When the dice are passed to the next player at a $10 minimum table;

Craps
  • Place a $10 Pass Line Bet
    • If a (7) or (11) roll, you win $10; if a (2), (3) or (12) roll you lose
    • There are 8 ways to roll a (7) or (11) and only 4 ways to roll a (2), (3) or (12) so the odds are in your favor
    • When the point is established, do not add odds to your bet
  • Place a $10 Come Bet
    • If a (7) rolls, you win $10 on your Come bet and lose your $10 Pass Line bet
      • Net Win/Loss is $0 and you start over on the next shooter
    • If an (11) rolls, you win $10 on your Come bet
    • If a (2), (3), or (12) roll, you lose your Come bet
    • When any other number is rolled, your Come bet moves to that number
  • Place another $10 Come Bet
    • If a (7) rolls, you win $10 on your Come bet and lose $20 from your other Come and Pass Line bet
      • Net Loss is $10 and you start over on the next shooter
    • If an (11) rolls, you win $10 on your Come bet
    • If a (2), (3), or (12) roll, you lose your Come bet
    • When any other number is rolled, your Come bet moves to that number
  • When your bets hit, collect your winnings and replace it with another $10 Pass Line or Come bet

At this point, you have a number of different variations you can deploy.

  • Continue to replace your bets as they hit until the shooter 7’s out
  • Take your bets down after a predetermined number of hits
  • Once you’ve recovered your $30 investment, use the winnings to add odds to the Pass Line or Come Bets, or
  • Any other variation you’re comfortable with

This strategy has a number of advantages for the low roller and gives the advanced player a low cost, low risk strategy to use until they get the dice back.

On early 7-Outs, the player is somewhat hedged on the first 3 rolls netting a losses as low as $0 and only risking $30 max at the end of 3 rolls.

One of the disadvantages of this strategy is that it takes a few rolls to develop and you may miss some early hits as you’re getting your bets in place. On the other hand, you will likely make those dollars up by losing much less on colder shooters.

Please feel free to leave you comments, suggestions and recommendations below.

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